One mega-cap's options are the priciest they've been in a year, and the stock is barely moving

Oct 8 itself produced nothing that cleared the floor, so the card ahead of it is the one to read: Ternium has come through the Oct 9–15 window green in four of every five years it has existed as a listing. Costco is the quieter half of the pair, and its ugliest version of that week was the 2008 crash at -6.62%, which still leaves it up in better than three years out of four with a +1.56% median behind it.

FMS is the one on this list with a record attached: when it has broken a swing low before, the following five days have run about +1.17% at the median, better than double what the average broken low in the database does. Worth being clear about what's bouncing, though. FMS has beaten the market in three of the last ten years, so this is a twitch the stock happens to have, rather than a good business going on sale.

FMS turns up here too, which matters for the bounce note above: whatever rebound its history suggests, you'd be collecting it in a stock that fell 7.6% in a week while its daily range doubled. CEG sits at the same volatility reading with a double-digit up week behind it, and down at the quiet end MKTX is ticking along at under a third of its normal range, which is its own kind of information.

I check this screen every morning and a reading of exactly 100 still stops me, because it means every other week in the past year priced GOOGL options cheaper than today does. The condition that makes it interesting is the gap underneath it: buyers are paying for nearly 37% of movement in a stock that has actually delivered under 26% over the last month, so the premium is betting on something the daily bars have not done yet.